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Mainz vs Elversberg Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 46% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 5, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-4Rating 1733
Form: LLWLW
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
Bundesliga
Elversberg
4-1-3Rating 1722
Form: WLWLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Elversberg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.8%6.0%5.8%<1%
If Win <1%9.8%7.2%3.0%<1%
If Draw <1%4.9%5.7%5.3%<1%
If Lose <1%4.1%4.3%7.6%1.1%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.4%2.7%10.9%1.7%
If Win <1%3.7%3.3%8.5%1.0%
If Draw <1%2.4%1.9%11.9%2.6%
If Lose <1%1.1%1.9%15.9%2.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatElversberg
8Games played8
2.1Avg goals scored2.0
2.1Avg goals conceded2.0
38% / 12% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatElversberg
0All-time wins (1 meetings, 0 draws)1
0Last 1 meetings (0 draws)1
1.0Average goals4.0
Last meeting (2026-10-30): Elversberg 4–1 Mainz