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Mainz vs Augsburg Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 43% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 19, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-4Rating 1733
Form: LLWLW
vs
Model Probability
43%
Draw 27%
29%
Bundesliga
Augsburg
2-3-3Rating 1740
Form: LDLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Augsburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.9%4.1%10.0%2.1%
If Win <1%5.7%5.1%5.3%<1%
If Draw <1%3.7%3.4%9.8%1.9%
If Lose <1%2.1%2.6%12.8%2.7%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.3%2.8%10.6%1.6%
If Win <1%3.2%4.1%7.7%<1%
If Draw <1%1.8%2.6%12.6%2.3%
If Lose <1%1.5%1.6%15.9%3.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatAugsburg
8Games played8
2.1Avg goals scored2.2
2.1Avg goals conceded1.9
38% / 12% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 38% / 38%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatAugsburg
15All-time wins (30 meetings, 3 draws)12
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.7Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-02-07): Mainz 2–0 Augsburg