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Paderborn vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Paderborn has a 42% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Paderborn
2-4-3Rating 1715
Form: DDWDL
vs
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
30%
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.0%1.9%11.1%2.5%
If Win <1%2.4%3.0%6.3%1.1%
If Draw <1%1.0%2.0%10.4%1.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%14.8%3.3%

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.0%1.5%14.2%2.9%
If Win <1%1.9%2.6%8.9%1.6%
If Draw <1%<1%1.4%16.0%3.4%
If Lose <1%<1%1.3%20.4%4.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PaderbornStatMainz
9Games played9
0.9Avg goals scored2.0
1.2Avg goals conceded2.1
22% / 44% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 11% / 56%
40% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PaderbornStatMainz
0All-time wins (5 meetings, 2 draws)3
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.6Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-08-29): Mainz 0–0 Paderborn