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Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Paderborn vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Paderborn has a 38% chance to win.

1-1-2 · Rating 1721
Form: WLLDD
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
38%
34%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%12.9%8.4%3.0%<1%
If Win <1%18.7%10.3%1.9%<1%
If Draw <1%12.3%8.5%2.8%<1%
If Lose <1%9.3%6.8%5.4%1.4%

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.6%3.4%12.8%5.3%
If Win <1%4.6%4.1%9.5%2.2%
If Draw <1%2.7%2.9%13.8%5.1%
If Lose <1%1.8%1.7%16.7%7.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PaderbornStatMainz
4Games played4
0.8Avg goals scored2.5
1.2Avg goals conceded1.5
25% / 25% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PaderbornStatMainz
0All-time wins (5 meetings, 2 draws)3
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.6Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-08-29): Mainz 0–0 Paderborn