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Stuttgart vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Stuttgart has a 58% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Jan 15, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Stuttgart
4-0-5Rating 1827
Form: WWLLW
vs
Model Probability
58%
Draw 23%
19%
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.5%1.7%11.0%1.9%
If Win <1%3.4%3.7%6.4%<1%
If Draw <1%1.7%1.9%9.3%1.7%
If Lose <1%<1%1.1%12.4%2.9%

Stuttgart

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%24.2%15.5%<1%<1%
If Win <1%28.9%16.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%19.5%14.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%15.2%12.0%1.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StuttgartStatMainz
9Games played9
1.7Avg goals scored2.0
1.7Avg goals conceded2.1
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 11% / 56%
50% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StuttgartStatMainz
11All-time wins (29 meetings, 8 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-03-07): Mainz 2–2 Stuttgart