Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-22 | Scheduled | |||
| 2027-01-16 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-03-07 | 2–2 | Draw | Stuttgart 43% | |
| 2025-10-26 | 2–1 | Stuttgart +1 | Stuttgart 51% | |
| 2025-01-25 | 2–0 | Mainz +2 | Stuttgart 38% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 3–3 | Draw | Stuttgart 60% | |
| 2024-02-11 | 3–1 | Stuttgart +2 | Stuttgart 64% | |
| 2023-09-16 | 1–3 | Stuttgart +2 | Mainz 40% | |
| 2023-05-21 | 1–4 | Stuttgart +3 | Mainz 55% | |
| 2023-01-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Stuttgart 38% | |
| 2022-04-16 | 0–0 | Draw | Mainz 52% | |
| 2021-11-26 | 2–1 | Stuttgart +1 | Stuttgart 38% | |
| 2021-01-29 | 2–0 | Stuttgart +2 | Stuttgart 52% | |
| 2020-09-26 | 1–4 | Stuttgart +3 | Mainz 55% | |
| 2019-01-19 | 2–3 | Mainz +1 | Stuttgart 37% | |
| 2018-08-26 | 1–0 | Mainz +1 | Mainz 42% | |
| 2018-01-20 | 3–2 | Mainz +1 | Mainz 49% | |
| 2017-08-26 | 1–0 | Stuttgart +1 | Stuttgart 38% | |
| 2016-05-07 | 1–3 | Mainz +2 | Mainz 39% | |
| 2015-12-11 | 0–0 | Draw | Mainz 59% | |
| 2015-05-09 | 2–0 | Stuttgart +2 | Mainz 39% | |
| 2014-12-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Mainz 54% | |
| 2014-01-25 | 1–2 | Mainz +1 | Stuttgart 41% | |
| 2013-08-11 | 3–2 | Mainz +1 | Mainz 49% | |
| 2013-05-18 | 2–2 | Draw | Stuttgart 42% | |
| 2012-12-15 | 3–1 | Mainz +2 | Mainz 41% | |
| 2012-04-07 | 4–1 | Stuttgart +3 | Stuttgart 53% | |
| 2011-11-04 | 3–1 | Mainz +2 | Stuttgart 41% | |
| 2011-01-15 | 1–0 | Stuttgart +1 | Stuttgart 38% | |
| 2010-08-22 | 2–0 | Mainz +2 | Stuttgart 39% | |
| 2010-05-01 | 2–2 | Draw | Stuttgart 57% |