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Freiburg vs Paderborn Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 59% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Jan 29, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Freiburg
5-1-2Rating 1819
Form: WLLWD
vs
Model Probability
59%
Draw 23%
18%
Bundesliga
Paderborn
2-3-3Rating 1716
Form: DWDLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.0%1.8%13.4%2.8%
If Win <1%4.1%3.9%7.5%1.1%
If Draw <1%2.4%1.7%13.6%2.8%
If Lose <1%1.3%1.2%16.5%4.4%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.1%48.7%14.5%<1%<1%
If Win 1.0%54.9%15.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%45.7%15.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%37.9%13.4%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatPaderborn
8Games played8
2.2Avg goals scored0.8
1.2Avg goals conceded1.1
62% / 12% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 38% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatPaderborn
2All-time wins (5 meetings, 1 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-09-05): Paderborn 0–1 Freiburg