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Paderborn vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 56% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 5, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Paderborn
2-3-3Rating 1716
Form: DWDLW
vs
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
56%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
5-3-0Rating 1916
Form: DWDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 12.1%91.7%4.1%<1%<1%
If Win 15.1%93.6%3.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 11.3%91.4%3.7%<1%<1%
If Lose 7.4%87.0%6.1%<1%<1%

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.6%2.0%15.2%3.4%
If Win <1%3.2%3.6%9.5%1.3%
If Draw <1%2.1%2.3%13.7%3.1%
If Lose <1%1.3%2.0%16.0%4.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PaderbornStatDortmund
8Games played8
0.8Avg goals scored1.8
1.1Avg goals conceded0.8
25% / 38% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 38% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PaderbornStatDortmund
0All-time wins (5 meetings, 2 draws)3
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.2Average goals3.4
Last meeting (2026-09-12): Dortmund 3–0 Paderborn