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Dortmund vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 66% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Jan 29, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Dortmund
5-3-0Rating 1916
Form: DWDDW
vs
Model Probability
66%
Draw 20%
14%
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
3-0-5Rating 1761
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.5%5.1%5.9%1.0%
If Win <1%10.4%7.3%3.1%<1%
If Draw <1%5.2%4.9%5.3%1.0%
If Lose <1%3.4%4.2%6.7%1.4%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 12.7%92.5%3.8%<1%<1%
If Win 13.7%93.8%3.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 8.8%90.0%4.9%<1%<1%
If Lose 7.3%85.8%6.3%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatHoffenheim
8Games played8
1.8Avg goals scored1.8
0.8Avg goals conceded2.0
62% / 38% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 0% / 62%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatHoffenheim
16All-time wins (34 meetings, 10 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-09-05): Hoffenheim 2–3 Dortmund