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Hamburger SV vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 60% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 5:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
17%
Draw 23%
60%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.6%93.3%4.4%<1%<1%
If Win 13.3%94.5%3.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 8.5%89.9%6.1%<1%<1%
If Lose 6.6%86.7%6.6%<1%<1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.4%15.1%3.3%
If Win <1%2.1%2.9%9.5%1.6%
If Draw <1%<1%1.5%14.3%2.8%
If Lose <1%<1%1.0%17.5%4.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatDortmund
9Games played9
1.1Avg goals scored1.8
2.2Avg goals conceded0.8
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 33% / 0%
75% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatDortmund
5All-time wins (20 meetings, 3 draws)12
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.2Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-08-29): Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SV