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Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Dortmund vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 57% chance to win.

4-0-0 · Rating 1916
Form: WWWWW
VS
3-1-0 · Rating 1824
Form: DWWWW
Model Probability
57%
19%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.6%47.9%13.4%<1%<1%
If Win 3.2%61.3%12.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.2%49.9%13.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.3%43.8%13.7%<1%<1%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 16.8%90.5%4.5%<1%<1%
If Win 17.9%93.8%3.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 14.1%89.5%4.8%<1%<1%
If Lose 9.4%85.0%6.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatFreiburg
4Games played4
2.2Avg goals scored3.0
0.5Avg goals conceded0.8
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 25% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatFreiburg
24All-time wins (31 meetings, 4 draws)3
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.9Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Dortmund 4–0 Freiburg