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Freiburg vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 64% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Wed, Jan 13, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Freiburg
5-1-2Rating 1819
Form: WLLWD
vs
Model Probability
64%
Draw 21%
15%
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
3-0-5Rating 1677
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.0%24.8%8.6%
If Win <1%1.5%2.1%15.7%4.5%
If Draw <1%<1%1.1%22.7%7.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%25.4%9.9%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%49.9%15.4%<1%<1%
If Win 1.2%54.9%14.3%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%43.1%14.3%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%36.4%15.6%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatHamburger SV
8Games played8
2.2Avg goals scored0.9
1.2Avg goals conceded2.4
62% / 12% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 0% / 62%
75% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatHamburger SV
6All-time wins (17 meetings, 6 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-05-10): Hamburger SV 3–2 Freiburg