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Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 52% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sun, Jan 10, 2027 · 4:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
3-0-5Rating 1677
Form: LLWWW
vs
Model Probability
23%
Draw 26%
52%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1-3Rating 1848
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.0%46.9%15.5%<1%<1%
If Win 1.0%54.3%14.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%42.5%16.2%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%34.9%15.9%<1%<1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%23.9%8.3%
If Win <1%1.8%1.8%15.8%3.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%23.0%8.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.7%11.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatBayer Leverkusen
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored2.2
2.4Avg goals conceded2.0
38% / 0% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
67% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatBayer Leverkusen
3All-time wins (19 meetings, 5 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.9Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-05-16): Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburger SV