← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen

Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 54% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 6:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD
vs
Model Probability
54%
Draw 25%
21%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
5-1-3Rating 1853
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.1%51.6%17.3%<1%<1%
If Win 2.0%65.2%15.1%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%53.0%17.6%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%45.6%18.8%<1%<1%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.5%91.9%4.5%<1%<1%
If Win 14.6%95.2%3.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 8.8%91.2%4.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 6.8%86.2%6.9%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatBayer Leverkusen
9Games played9
1.8Avg goals scored2.2
0.8Avg goals conceded1.9
67% / 33% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss56% / 11% / 33%
80% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatBayer Leverkusen
18All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
2.0Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen