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Bundesliga
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 6:30 PM GMT

Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 52% chance to win.

4-0-0 · Rating 1916
Form: WWWWW
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1863
Form: WDWLD
Model Probability
52%
23%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.1%57.1%13.6%<1%<1%
If Win 4.1%69.8%10.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 2.2%58.6%13.3%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.2%50.2%14.9%<1%<1%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 17.8%91.1%4.6%<1%<1%
If Win 20.8%94.7%2.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 14.7%90.0%4.7%<1%<1%
If Lose 11.2%86.0%6.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatBayer Leverkusen
4Games played4
2.2Avg goals scored2.5
0.5Avg goals conceded1.2
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatBayer Leverkusen
18All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
2.0Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen