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Bundesliga
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Bayer Leverkusen vs Paderborn Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 64% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1863
Form: WDWLD
VS
1-1-2 · Rating 1721
Form: WLLDD
Model Probability
64%
15%
Draw 21%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.3%3.0%14.2%4.2%
If Win <1%6.9%5.8%6.9%2.1%
If Draw <1%4.4%3.5%11.7%3.7%
If Lose <1%2.1%2.2%15.6%5.7%

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.3%55.3%13.5%<1%<1%
If Win 2.2%61.2%13.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.7%51.8%14.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.0%41.8%14.0%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayer LeverkusenStatPaderborn
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored0.8
1.2Avg goals conceded1.2
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 25% / 50%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayer LeverkusenStatPaderborn
3All-time wins (4 meetings, 1 draws)0
3Last 4 meetings (1 draws)0
3.0Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2020-01-19): Paderborn 1–4 Bayer Leverkusen