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Schalke vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 70% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sun, Dec 6, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Schalke
1-3-4Rating 1612
Form: LDLLD
vs
Model Probability
12%
Draw 18%
70%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
5-3-0Rating 1916
Form: DWDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 13.5%92.4%4.1%<1%<1%
If Win 14.3%93.5%3.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 9.9%89.5%4.8%<1%<1%
If Lose 6.6%84.3%7.0%<1%<1%

Schalke

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%32.6%44.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%34.1%28.2%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%35.4%38.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%34.3%45.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SchalkeStatDortmund
8Games played8
0.5Avg goals scored1.8
1.1Avg goals conceded0.8
12% / 38% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 38% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SchalkeStatDortmund
6All-time wins (25 meetings, 8 draws)11
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.2Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2023-03-11): Schalke 2–2 Dortmund