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Hamburger SV vs Schalke Prediction & Win Probability

Hamburger SV has a 54% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Dec 11, 2026 · 7:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
3-0-5Rating 1677
Form: LLWWW
vs
Model Probability
54%
Draw 25%
21%
Bundesliga
Schalke
1-3-4Rating 1612
Form: LDLLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Schalke

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%34.1%40.9%
If Win <1%<1%<1%34.3%27.7%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%34.2%41.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.5%49.1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%23.3%9.2%
If Win <1%1.2%1.3%19.7%4.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.4%10.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%30.4%15.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatSchalke
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored0.5
2.4Avg goals conceded1.1
38% / 0% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 38% / 50%
67% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatSchalke
6All-time wins (17 meetings, 4 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2018-04-07): Hamburger SV 3–2 Schalke