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Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Win Probability

Union Berlin has a 46% chance to win.

0-1-3 · Rating 1691
Form: LLLDW
VS
1-0-3 · Rating 1681
Form: WLLLD
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%25.7%15.7%
If Win <1%1.2%1.8%21.1%7.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%25.8%13.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%29.2%18.7%

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%27.6%18.7%
If Win <1%<1%1.0%24.9%11.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%27.7%20.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%31.6%26.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Union BerlinStatHamburger SV
4Games played4
1.0Avg goals scored0.5
4.2Avg goals conceded3.2
0% / 25% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 0% / 75%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Union BerlinStatHamburger SV
0All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)1
0Last 2 meetings (1 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Hamburger SV 3–2 Union Berlin