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Dortmund vs Augsburg Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 70% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD
vs
Model Probability
70%
Draw 18%
12%
Bundesliga
Augsburg
2-3-4Rating 1732
Form: LLDLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Augsburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.5%1.8%12.3%1.9%
If Win <1%3.9%4.1%5.3%<1%
If Draw <1%1.6%2.1%9.9%1.2%
If Lose <1%1.0%2.0%13.8%2.6%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.8%93.1%4.1%<1%<1%
If Win 13.4%94.1%3.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 8.9%89.5%5.7%<1%<1%
If Lose 5.7%85.0%6.9%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatAugsburg
9Games played9
1.8Avg goals scored2.2
0.8Avg goals conceded2.2
67% / 33% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss22% / 33% / 44%
80% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatAugsburg
18All-time wins (30 meetings, 7 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
2.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg