Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
RB Leipzig vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability
Dortmund has a 42% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Dortmund
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 15.1% | 90.5% | 4.1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 22.4% | 95.0% | 2.6% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 15.9% | 91.0% | 4.4% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 11.3% | 86.0% | 6.0% | <1% | <1% |
RB Leipzig
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 25.9% | 13.2% | 1.3% | <1% |
| If Win | 1.0% | 35.1% | 13.4% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 26.0% | 12.4% | 1.3% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 19.7% | 12.4% | 2.3% | <1% |
| RB Leipzig | Stat | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games played | 4 |
| 2.2 | Avg goals scored | 2.2 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 0.5 |
| 50% / 0% / 50% | Win / Draw / Loss | 100% / 0% / 0% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| RB Leipzig | Stat | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws) | 8 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 1 |
| 1.8 | Average goals | 1.6 |
Recent Results
RB Leipzig
@ Bayer Leverkusen
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2
vs Hamburger SV
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5–0
@ Werder Bremen
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
vs B. Monchengladbach
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
@ Freiburg
Sat, May 16, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4