Lyon vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability
Lyon has a 46% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Dec 13, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Model Prediction Through Season
Marseille
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 29.0% | 12.7% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | <1% | 40.0% | 14.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 28.5% | 12.8% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 21.2% | 12.0% | <1% | <1% |
Lyon
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 25.8% | 11.3% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | <1% | 34.7% | 12.8% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 23.5% | 12.8% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 15.7% | 9.7% | <1% | <1% |
| Lyon | Stat | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games played | 10 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals scored | 2.2 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 50% / 20% / 30% | Win / Draw / Loss | 60% / 0% / 40% |
| 80% | Home win % / Away win % | 60% |
| Lyon | Stat | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | All-time wins (32 meetings, 10 draws) | 9 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 1.6 | Average goals | 1.3 |