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Troyes vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 46% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Dec 6, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Troyes
2-2-5Rating 1685
Form: WDLLL
vs
Model Probability
27%
Draw 27%
46%
Ligue 1
Lyon
5-2-2Rating 1820
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.3%39.9%12.9%<1%<1%
If Win 1.9%47.1%14.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%36.5%13.6%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%29.8%12.7%<1%<1%

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%31.9%16.2%
If Win <1%<1%<1%27.2%8.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%32.4%15.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%36.1%20.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TroyesStatLyon
9Games played9
0.8Avg goals scored1.7
1.8Avg goals conceded0.8
22% / 22% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss56% / 22% / 22%
20% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TroyesStatLyon
0All-time wins (10 meetings, 0 draws)10
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.6Average goals3.0
Last meeting (2023-02-04): Troyes 1–3 Lyon