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Lyon vs Monaco Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 42% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Lyon
5-2-3Rating 1811
Form: LWLWL
vs
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
31%
Ligue 1
Monaco
4-4-2Rating 1828
Form: DLDLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%30.1%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win 1.2%45.0%14.2%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%30.9%14.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%22.0%11.8%<1%<1%

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%25.2%12.4%<1%<1%
If Win <1%35.2%14.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%20.4%12.6%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%16.0%10.3%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LyonStatMonaco
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored1.3
0.9Avg goals conceded1.1
50% / 20% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
80% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LyonStatMonaco
15All-time wins (28 meetings, 3 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.9Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Lyon 1–2 Monaco