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Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Lille vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 42% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
Model Probability
42%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 7.2%36.7%13.8%<1%<1%
If Win 11.8%51.2%14.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 7.4%37.7%14.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 4.3%29.6%12.9%<1%<1%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 5.1%28.7%13.7%1.0%<1%
If Win 7.0%37.2%13.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.5%26.7%11.7%<1%<1%
If Lose 2.5%19.3%11.9%1.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatLyon
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored2.0
0.8Avg goals conceded0.4
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatLyon
11All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws)9
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.2Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-02-01): Lyon 1–0 Lille