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Lille vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 44% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Lille
6-3-1Rating 1808
Form: WWDDW
vs
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
29%
Ligue 1
Lyon
5-2-3Rating 1811
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%24.8%12.4%<1%<1%
If Win 1.0%37.3%14.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%26.2%12.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%19.1%11.0%<1%<1%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.2%45.0%13.5%<1%<1%
If Win 1.8%54.2%14.3%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%41.8%14.2%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%31.8%13.4%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatLyon
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.5
0.7Avg goals conceded0.9
60% / 30% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 20% / 30%
60% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatLyon
11All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws)9
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.2Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-02-01): Lyon 1–0 Lille