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Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Le Mans vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 42% chance to win.

1-3-1 · Rating 1707
Form: WDDLD
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
Model Probability
30%
42%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.9%30.5%12.4%<1%<1%
If Win 6.6%36.3%13.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.3%26.6%13.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 2.7%19.6%11.8%1.7%<1%

Le Mans

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.4%1.4%20.3%8.7%
If Win <1%2.0%2.3%13.9%4.9%
If Draw <1%1.0%1.0%19.8%8.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%23.0%12.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Le MansStatLille
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored1.6
1.8Avg goals conceded0.8
20% / 60% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
33% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Le MansStatLille
0All-time wins (1 meetings, 0 draws)1
0Last 1 meetings (0 draws)1
1.0Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2010-04-24): Le Mans 1–2 Lille