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Marseille vs Le Mans Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 60% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Nov 22, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
60%
Draw 22%
17%
Ligue 1
Le Mans
1-5-4Rating 1685
Form: DLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Le Mans

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%34.8%13.3%
If Win <1%<1%<1%24.2%6.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%33.2%11.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%36.9%14.5%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%26.8%12.3%<1%<1%
If Win <1%33.8%13.8%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%22.2%13.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%16.7%9.7%1.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatLe Mans
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored1.2
1.4Avg goals conceded1.9
60% / 0% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss10% / 50% / 40%
60% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatLe Mans
1All-time wins (1 meetings, 0 draws)0
1Last 1 meetings (0 draws)0
2.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2010-01-20): Marseille 2–1 Le Mans