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Ligue 1
Sun, Nov 22, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Marseille vs Le Mans Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 52% chance to win.

1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
VS
1-3-1 · Rating 1707
Form: WDDLD
Model Probability
52%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Le Mans

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.7%19.2%9.2%
If Win <1%2.7%2.0%13.0%4.0%
If Draw <1%<1%1.2%17.7%7.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%23.2%11.4%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.2%3.7%11.5%4.1%
If Win <1%4.6%3.8%8.6%1.7%
If Draw <1%2.6%2.2%13.5%4.5%
If Lose <1%1.3%1.5%15.9%7.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatLe Mans
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.8
1.6Avg goals conceded1.8
20% / 0% / 80%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 60% / 20%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatLe Mans
1All-time wins (1 meetings, 0 draws)0
1Last 1 meetings (0 draws)0
2.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2010-01-20): Marseille 2–1 Le Mans