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Ligue 1
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT

Auxerre vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Auxerre has a 37% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1714
Form: WWLLL
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.1%2.7%11.6%4.3%
If Win <1%6.1%4.9%7.9%1.8%
If Draw <1%3.0%2.7%11.0%4.1%
If Lose <1%2.0%2.3%14.4%6.1%

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.2%1.4%19.3%8.1%
If Win <1%1.9%2.5%14.1%4.6%
If Draw <1%1.4%1.1%20.1%9.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%22.9%13.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AuxerreStatMarseille
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
2.4Avg goals conceded1.6
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AuxerreStatMarseille
2All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-03-13): Marseille 1–0 Auxerre