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Marseille vs Nice Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 52% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Dec 6, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Marseille
5-0-4Rating 1780
Form: WWWWL
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 25%
22%
Ligue 1
Nice
4-2-3Rating 1724
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.8%3.0%7.6%1.3%
If Win <1%5.6%5.7%3.8%<1%
If Draw <1%3.4%3.3%6.6%1.2%
If Lose <1%1.5%2.2%9.4%2.1%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%16.8%9.9%1.5%<1%
If Win <1%21.2%11.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%13.4%9.3%1.8%<1%
If Lose <1%10.0%7.1%2.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatNice
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored1.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.3
56% / 0% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 22% / 33%
60% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatNice
16All-time wins (32 meetings, 6 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Marseille 1–1 Nice