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Brest vs Troyes Prediction & Win Probability

Brest has a 54% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Brest
4-3-3Rating 1752
Form: WWLDW
vs
Model Probability
54%
Draw 25%
21%
Ligue 1
Troyes
2-2-6Rating 1684
Form: LWDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%34.9%13.7%
If Win <1%<1%<1%27.8%6.3%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%32.9%12.1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%38.1%16.8%

Brest

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.6%4.9%4.0%<1%
If Win <1%7.7%7.1%2.0%<1%
If Draw <1%3.7%3.7%4.5%<1%
If Lose <1%3.0%2.5%7.6%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrestStatTroyes
10Games played10
1.8Avg goals scored0.7
1.2Avg goals conceded1.7
40% / 30% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
40% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrestStatTroyes
3All-time wins (6 meetings, 2 draws)1
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
2.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2023-03-19): Troyes 2–2 Brest