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Manchester City vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 64% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Mar 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW
vs
Model Probability
64%
Draw 21%
15%
Premier League
Manchester Utd
1-5-4Rating 1892
Form: DLLDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.0%2.3%14.3%
If Win <1%5.1%5.0%9.6%
If Draw <1%3.7%2.9%13.0%
If Lose <1%2.2%2.1%15.7%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.4%91.8%3.5%<1%
If Win 14.6%93.5%3.0%<1%
If Draw 11.3%90.1%4.0%<1%
If Lose 8.3%87.0%4.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatManchester Utd
10Games played10
2.1Avg goals scored1.4
1.3Avg goals conceded1.9
70% / 0% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss10% / 50% / 40%
80% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatManchester Utd
17All-time wins (34 meetings, 5 draws)12
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.7Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-13): Manchester Utd 0–1 Manchester City