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Sat, Mar 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Manchester City vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 62% chance to win.

5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
Model Probability
62%
16%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.6%9.5%3.2%
If Win 1.0%33.6%9.6%1.4%
If Draw <1%28.3%8.3%2.8%
If Lose <1%23.3%8.3%3.5%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 47.7%96.5%1.3%<1%
If Win 51.1%97.4%1.0%<1%
If Draw 44.9%96.2%1.6%<1%
If Lose 39.1%94.6%2.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatManchester Utd
5Games played5
2.6Avg goals scored1.6
1.0Avg goals conceded1.6
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatManchester Utd
17All-time wins (34 meetings, 5 draws)12
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.7Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-13): Manchester Utd 0–1 Manchester City