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Premier League
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Bournemouth vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 52% chance to win.

0-3-2 · Rating 1890
Form: LDDDL
VS
5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
23%
52%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 48.4%97.0%1.4%<1%
If Win 52.5%97.4%1.2%<1%
If Draw 46.2%96.6%1.5%<1%
If Lose 41.5%94.9%2.5%<1%

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.7%5.0%13.2%
If Win <1%12.2%5.9%8.9%
If Draw <1%8.4%4.1%13.8%
If Lose <1%7.1%3.2%15.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatManchester City
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored2.6
1.6Avg goals conceded1.0
0% / 60% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatManchester City
1All-time wins (19 meetings, 1 draws)17
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.7Average goals2.9
Last meeting (2026-08-23): Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth