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Bournemouth vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 40% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Bournemouth
4-3-3Rating 1945
Form: WWWWL
vs
Model Probability
33%
Draw 28%
40%
Premier League
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.4%91.1%3.9%<1%
If Win 15.9%94.8%2.1%<1%
If Draw 12.2%91.9%3.5%<1%
If Lose 9.6%87.1%4.4%<1%

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%36.2%13.2%<1%
If Win 1.0%45.3%13.2%<1%
If Draw <1%33.1%13.0%<1%
If Lose <1%29.8%12.7%1.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatManchester City
10Games played10
1.6Avg goals scored2.1
1.4Avg goals conceded1.3
40% / 30% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 0% / 30%
40% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatManchester City
1All-time wins (19 meetings, 1 draws)17
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.7Average goals2.9
Last meeting (2026-08-23): Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth