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Premier League
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Manchester Utd vs Everton Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 51% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: WDDDW
Model Probability
51%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%20.8%8.9%3.8%
If Win <1%26.9%8.7%2.0%
If Draw <1%20.2%8.0%3.9%
If Lose <1%16.3%6.2%5.5%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.7%8.7%3.0%
If Win <1%32.6%9.4%1.8%
If Draw <1%24.8%8.1%3.5%
If Lose <1%19.5%8.5%4.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatEverton
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
1.6Avg goals conceded0.6
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatEverton
16All-time wins (34 meetings, 10 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-06): Everton 2–2 Manchester Utd