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Manchester Utd vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 56% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Manchester Utd
1-5-4Rating 1892
Form: DLLDD
vs
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
56%
Premier League
Arsenal
9-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 75.5%99.7%<1%<1%
If Win 80.2%99.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 73.9%99.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 67.2%99.3%<1%<1%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.6%2.6%15.9%
If Win <1%5.6%4.3%9.0%
If Draw <1%3.4%3.1%13.2%
If Lose <1%2.3%2.7%18.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatArsenal
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.5
1.9Avg goals conceded0.5
10% / 50% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss90% / 0% / 10%
20% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatArsenal
13All-time wins (32 meetings, 8 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.5Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-25): Arsenal 2–3 Manchester Utd