Premier League
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 43% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Arsenal
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 41.7% | 96.3% | 1.5% | <1% |
| If Win | 53.6% | 97.8% | 1.0% | <1% |
| If Draw | 41.4% | 96.1% | 1.7% | <1% |
| If Lose | 30.5% | 94.9% | 2.2% | <1% |
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 47.5% | 96.6% | 1.6% | <1% |
| If Win | 58.6% | 97.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 47.0% | 96.9% | 1.1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 35.2% | 95.1% | 1.8% | <1% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 100% / 0% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 80% / 0% / 20% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 67% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws) | 6 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (3 draws) | 1 |
| 1.8 | Average goals | 1.1 |
Recent Results
Manchester City
vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Crystal Palace
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1