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Premier League
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 42% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
VS
5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
30%
42%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 48.4%97.0%1.3%<1%
If Win 56.6%98.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 46.6%96.8%1.5%<1%
If Lose 40.7%95.8%1.8%<1%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.0%56.0%10.4%<1%
If Win 5.8%66.2%8.3%<1%
If Draw 3.9%56.0%9.3%<1%
If Lose 1.2%48.1%10.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatManchester City
5Games played5
3.2Avg goals scored2.6
1.0Avg goals conceded1.0
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
67% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatManchester City
3All-time wins (18 meetings, 3 draws)12
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
0.9Average goals2.5
Last meeting (2026-01-07): Manchester City 1–1 Brighton