← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Brighton vs Manchester City

Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 38% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Brighton
7-1-2Rating 1983
Form: WWLWW
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
Premier League
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 13.4%92.0%3.4%<1%
If Win 16.8%94.9%2.5%<1%
If Draw 11.9%91.3%3.5%<1%
If Lose 7.5%88.2%5.0%<1%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 7.5%83.8%5.9%<1%
If Win 11.6%90.1%4.4%<1%
If Draw 6.8%83.6%6.8%<1%
If Lose 4.8%80.9%7.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatManchester City
10Games played10
2.6Avg goals scored2.1
0.7Avg goals conceded1.3
70% / 10% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 0% / 30%
80% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatManchester City
4All-time wins (19 meetings, 3 draws)12
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
0.9Average goals2.4
Last meeting (2026-10-31): Manchester City 0–1 Brighton