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Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 40% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL
vs
Model Probability
32%
Draw 28%
40%
Premier League
Brighton
7-1-2Rating 1983
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 7.9%85.5%5.4%<1%
If Win 9.8%90.3%4.0%<1%
If Draw 6.9%84.3%5.8%<1%
If Lose 4.5%79.2%6.6%<1%

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.8%5.1%7.6%
If Win <1%10.4%6.3%4.4%
If Draw <1%6.0%4.6%6.7%
If Lose <1%3.7%3.4%10.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatBrighton
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored2.6
1.6Avg goals conceded0.7
30% / 30% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 10% / 20%
20% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatBrighton
5All-time wins (20 meetings, 8 draws)7
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-02): Newcastle 3–1 Brighton