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Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 72% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Arsenal
9-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
72%
Draw 17%
11%
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.1%5.1%7.5%
If Win <1%12.3%7.4%3.4%
If Draw <1%7.4%5.2%6.3%
If Lose <1%5.5%4.9%8.6%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 77.4%99.6%<1%<1%
If Win 78.8%99.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 70.5%99.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 66.5%99.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatNewcastle
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored1.3
0.5Avg goals conceded1.6
90% / 0% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 30% / 40%
100% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatNewcastle
22All-time wins (30 meetings, 3 draws)5
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.8Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2026-04-25): Arsenal 1–0 Newcastle