Manchester City vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 67% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
vs
Model Probability
67%
Draw 19%
13%
Model Prediction Through Season
Nottingham
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 18.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 9.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 13.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 20.2% |
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12.6% | 90.5% | 3.9% | <1% |
| If Win | 14.9% | 94.4% | 2.9% | <1% |
| If Draw | 10.0% | 89.5% | 4.2% | <1% |
| If Lose | 7.8% | 85.8% | 5.4% | <1% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Nottingham |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games played | 10 |
| 2.1 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.3 | Avg goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 70% / 0% / 30% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 30% / 50% |
| 80% | Home win % / Away win % | 20% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Nottingham |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws) | 2 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 2.0 | Average goals | 1.0 |