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Premier League
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Manchester City vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 70% chance to win.

5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1873
Form: LWDDL
Model Probability
70%
12%
Draw 18%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.0%3.6%15.3%
If Win <1%11.4%5.0%9.4%
If Draw <1%7.6%3.8%13.6%
If Lose <1%5.1%3.7%17.1%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 48.5%97.0%1.2%<1%
If Win 50.2%98.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 43.7%95.8%1.5%<1%
If Lose 38.9%93.6%2.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatNottingham
5Games played5
2.6Avg goals scored0.8
1.0Avg goals conceded1.0
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatNottingham
4All-time wins (7 meetings, 2 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.1Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2026-03-04): Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham