← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Leeds vs Manchester City

Leeds vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 47% chance to win.
Premier League
Wed, Jan 6, 2027 · 8:15 PM GMT
Premier League
Leeds
3-5-2Rating 1891
Form: WLDDL
vs
Model Probability
26%
Draw 27%
47%
Premier League
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.5%91.7%2.7%<1%
If Win 15.5%94.9%2.7%<1%
If Draw 10.7%91.3%3.6%<1%
If Lose 8.0%87.1%5.1%<1%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.3%7.7%3.9%
If Win <1%19.8%9.6%2.1%
If Draw <1%13.4%7.8%3.0%
If Lose <1%9.4%6.7%4.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatManchester City
10Games played10
1.0Avg goals scored2.1
0.8Avg goals conceded1.3
30% / 50% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 0% / 30%
40% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatManchester City
1All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)6
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.9Average goals2.8
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Leeds 0–1 Manchester City