Premier League
Wed, Jan 6, 2027 · 8:15 PM GMT
Leeds vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 51% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 26%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 49.0% | 96.6% | 1.4% | <1% |
| If Win | 54.1% | 97.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 45.8% | 96.3% | 1.5% | <1% |
| If Lose | 38.1% | 94.2% | 2.1% | <1% |
Leeds
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 22.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| If Win | 1.2% | 30.6% | 9.9% | 2.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 22.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| If Lose | <1% | 18.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Leeds | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 0.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 40% / 60% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 100% / 0% / 0% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| Leeds | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws) | 6 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 5 |
| 0.9 | Average goals | 2.8 |
Recent Results
Manchester City
vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Crystal Palace
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1