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Birmingham vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Birmingham has a 59% chance to win.
Championship
Fri, Feb 12, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT
Championship
Birmingham
7-5-2Rating 1691
Form: WWLWW
vs
Model Probability
59%
Draw 23%
18%
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%51.7%
If Win <1%<1%<1%40.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%53.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%58.2%

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.0%13.3%56.1%<1%
If Win 6.3%15.7%57.7%<1%
If Draw 4.1%10.3%56.6%<1%
If Lose 3.2%9.0%52.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BirminghamStatDerby
14Games played15
1.9Avg goals scored0.9
0.9Avg goals conceded2.0
50% / 36% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 27% / 60%
43% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BirminghamStatDerby
5All-time wins (25 meetings, 9 draws)11
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-09-12): Derby 1–2 Birmingham