Championship
Sat, Feb 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Derby vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability
Southampton has a 44% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Southampton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 11.2% | 27.9% | 53.3% | <1% |
| If Win | 14.0% | 32.5% | 54.2% | <1% |
| If Draw | 9.7% | 25.8% | 55.4% | <1% |
| If Lose | 8.3% | 22.4% | 54.8% | <1% |
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 7.6% | 30.7% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 10.7% | 23.4% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 6.4% | 32.1% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 5.6% | 34.1% |
| Derby | Stat | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals scored | 2.4 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 12% / 25% / 62% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 25% / 25% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Derby | Stat | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | All-time wins (4 meetings, 2 draws) | 2 |
| 0 | Last 4 meetings (2 draws) | 2 |
| 0.8 | Average goals | 2.0 |