Championship
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Bolton vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
Bolton has a 41% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 8.4% | 29.1% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 9.3% | 22.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 6.8% | 31.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 3.9% | 35.7% |
Bolton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 10.2% | 24.3% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 11.3% | 17.7% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 7.7% | 26.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 6.8% | 32.5% |
| Bolton | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 38% / 12% / 50% | Win / Draw / Loss | 12% / 25% / 62% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Bolton | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws) | 8 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 3 |
| 0.8 | Average goals | 1.6 |