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Norwich vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Norwich has a 57% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Jan 26, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT
Championship
Norwich
7-0-8Rating 1683
Form: WWWWL
vs
Model Probability
57%
Draw 24%
19%
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%56.4%
If Win <1%<1%1.1%42.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%52.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%59.5%

Norwich

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.1%2.9%35.4%1.1%
If Win 1.4%3.5%40.3%<1%
If Draw <1%2.5%30.2%1.2%
If Lose <1%1.4%26.5%2.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NorwichStatDerby
15Games played15
2.1Avg goals scored0.9
1.6Avg goals conceded2.0
47% / 0% / 53%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 27% / 60%
43% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NorwichStatDerby
7All-time wins (17 meetings, 5 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.6Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-11-03): Derby 0–4 Norwich