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Championship
Tue, Jan 26, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT

Norwich vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Norwich has a 49% chance to win.

3-0-5 · Rating 1654
Form: LLWWL
VS
1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
Model Probability
49%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.7%30.8%
If Win <1%<1%10.2%23.5%
If Draw <1%<1%7.8%28.8%
If Lose <1%<1%5.3%34.8%

Norwich

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.3%21.9%9.4%
If Win <1%2.5%27.2%6.9%
If Draw <1%1.1%21.4%9.8%
If Lose <1%1.2%16.6%12.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NorwichStatDerby
8Games played8
2.0Avg goals scored0.9
2.1Avg goals conceded1.8
38% / 0% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 25% / 62%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NorwichStatDerby
6All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-04-21): Norwich 2–1 Derby