Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-12 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Derby 41% | |
| 2026-03-21 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 48% | |
| 2025-12-26 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 42% | |
| 2022-01-30 | 2–2 | Draw | Derby 54% | |
| 2021-09-10 | 2–0 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 42% | |
| 2021-04-24 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Derby 45% | |
| 2020-12-29 | 0–4 | Derby +4 | Birmingham 42% | |
| 2020-07-22 | 1–3 | Derby +2 | Birmingham 38% | |
| 2019-09-28 | 3–2 | Derby +1 | Derby 47% | |
| 2019-04-19 | 2–2 | Draw | Birmingham 37% | |
| 2018-11-03 | 3–1 | Derby +2 | Derby 55% | |
| 2018-01-13 | 0–3 | Derby +3 | Derby 49% | |
| 2017-09-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 57% | |
| 2017-04-08 | 1–2 | Derby +1 | Derby 40% | |
| 2016-12-27 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 51% | |
| 2016-01-16 | 0–3 | Birmingham +3 | Derby 55% | |
| 2015-08-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 42% | |
| 2015-03-07 | 2–2 | Draw | Derby 63% | |
| 2014-12-26 | 0–4 | Derby +4 | Derby 45% | |
| 2014-02-01 | 3–3 | Draw | Derby 37% | |
| 2013-10-26 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 48% | |
| 2013-03-09 | 3–1 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 46% | |
| 2012-11-24 | 3–2 | Derby +1 | Derby 40% | |
| 2012-03-03 | 2–2 | Draw | Birmingham 64% | |
| 2011-08-06 | 2–1 | Derby +1 | Derby 36% |