Lightning @ Capitals

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 0 - Capitals 0
Monday, March 15, 2027 at 3:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-6 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWL
@
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Washington Capitals +0.2
Washington
Capitals
9-6 Rating 1528
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Capitals
All-time wins 65 94
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.7 3.3
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Capitals
Games played 17 15
Avg goals scored 3.7 3.5
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.4
Win percentage 65% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 64%