Bears @ Bills

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Bears 0 - Bills 0
Saturday, December 19, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET
Chicago
Bears
6-2 Rating 1618
Form: WLWWW
@
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: Buffalo Bills +5.4
Buffalo
Bills
6-1 Rating 1714
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bears Bills
All-time wins 8 6
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 21.0 16.4
Last meeting 13 35

Key Season Stats

Stat Bears Bills
Games played 8 7
Avg points scored 26.8 33.3
Avg points conceded 20.0 25.9
Win percentage 75% 86%
Away win % / Home win % 75% 75%