Bears @ Packers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Bears 7 - Packers 31
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Chicago
Bears
3-1 Rating 1569
Form: LWLWW
7 – 31
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Green Bay Packers +1.9
Green Bay
Packers
2-2 Rating 1506
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bears Packers
All-time wins 44 68
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 18.2 21.1
Last meeting 31 27

Key Season Stats

Stat Bears Packers
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 28.0 18.2
Avg points conceded 16.2 26.2
Win percentage 75% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 0%