Final Score: Bears 38 - 49ers 42
Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 8:20 PM ET

Bears @ 49ers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Bears
11-4 Rating 1548
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: San Francisco 49ers +4.6
49ers
11-4 Rating 1603
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bears 49ers
All-time wins 14 20
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 14.6 23.3
Last meeting 13 38

Key Season Stats

Stat Bears 49ers
Games played 15 15
Avg points scored 25.8 26.1
Avg points conceded 23.6 21.3
Win percentage 73% 73%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 67%