Bears @ Falcons

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Bears 31 - Falcons 23
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Chicago
Bears
3-2 Rating 1536
Form: WLWWL
31 – 23
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Chicago Bears +0.3
Atlanta
Falcons
2-3 Rating 1450
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bears Falcons
All-time wins 14 12
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 19.8 17.5
Last meeting 37 17

Key Season Stats

Stat Bears Falcons
Games played 5 5
Avg points scored 23.8 23.8
Avg points conceded 19.2 24.4
Win percentage 60% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 0%