Final Score: Falcons 29 - Buccaneers 28
Thursday, December 11, 2025 at 8:15 PM ET
Falcons @ Buccaneers
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Falcons | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 32 | 32 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 22.1 | 23.2 |
| Last meeting | 20 | 23 |
| Stat | Falcons | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 13 | 13 |
| Avg points scored | 19.4 | 23.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 24.1 | 25.0 |
| Win percentage | 31% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 29% | 50% |
Recent Results
Falcons
vs Seattle Seahawks
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -28 · Total: 46
9-37
@ New York Jets
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
@ New Orleans Saints
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 34
24-10
vs Carolina Panthers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 57
27-30
@ Indianapolis Colts
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 56
25-31
@ New England Patriots
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 47
23-24
vs Miami Dolphins
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 44
10-34
@ San Francisco 49ers
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 30
10-20
vs Buffalo Bills
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 38
24-14
vs Washington Commanders
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 61
34-27
Buccaneers
vs New Orleans Saints
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 44
20-24
vs Arizona Cardinals
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 37
20-17
@ Los Angeles Rams
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -27 · Total: 41
7-34
@ Buffalo Bills
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 76
32-44
vs New England Patriots
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 51
23-28
@ New Orleans Saints
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 26
23-3
@ Detroit Lions
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: -15 · Total: 33
9-24
vs San Francisco 49ers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 49
30-19
@ Seattle Seahawks
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 73
38-35
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 56
25-31