Ravens @ Falcons

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Ravens 30 - Falcons 23
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET
Baltimore
Ravens
3-1 Rating 1583
Form: LWLWW
30 – 23
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Baltimore Ravens +1.0
Atlanta
Falcons
2-2 Rating 1468
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Ravens Falcons
All-time wins 5 2
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 21.9 14.4
Last meeting 17 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Ravens Falcons
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 29.0 24.0
Avg points conceded 24.0 23.0
Win percentage 75% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 0%